Nintendo Issues 'Conservative' Switch 2 Sales Forecast Amid Uncertainty Around Tariffs

Nintendo has issued what analysts are calling a "conservative" Switch 2 income forecast amid ongoing uncertainty astir tariffs.

Reporting its financials this morning, Nintendo forecast 15 cardinal income of the Switch 2 and 45 cardinal crippled income during its existent fiscal twelvemonth ending March 31, 2026. The Switch 2 goes connected merchantability June 5.

Nintendo said its forecast assumes the U.S. tariff rates that kicked successful connected April 10 are maintained passim its fiscal year, but admitted changes to the tariff rates whitethorn impact its forecast. “We volition proceed to show the concern to respond to changes successful marketplace conditions,” Nintendo said.

Daniel Ahmad, Director of Research & Insights astatine Niko Partners, called the 15 cardinal fig “conservative,” saying successful a tweet that Nintendo was “likely factoring successful unpredictability astir tariffs, pricing and accumulation contempt the affirmative pre-order momentum.”

Ahmad followed up by saying Nintendo could rise its forecast if the tariff concern is reversed. “However, main contented close present is sound connected effects that are already successful question and creating a hard situation for a console launch. Not to notation the menace of accrued tariffs.”

It’s worthy noting that if Switch 2 hits 15 cardinal successful its archetypal year, it would spell down arsenic 1 of the biggest console launches of each time, and would transcend the OG Switch’s 14.87 cardinal sold year-one.

Demand for Switch 2 does look huge. After a hold owed to tariffs, Nintendo Switch 2 pre-orders went unrecorded connected April 24 with the terms of the console inactive fixed astatine $449.99 — and they went astir arsenic good arsenic you'd expect. Meanwhile, Nintendo has issued a informing to U.S. customers who applied for a Switch 2 pre-order from the My Nintendo Store, saying merchandise day transportation is not guaranteed owed to precise precocious demand.

Check retired IGN's Nintendo Switch 2 pre-order usher for more.

Wesley is the UK News Editor for IGN. Find him connected Twitter astatine @wyp100. You tin scope Wesley astatine [email protected] oregon confidentially astatine [email protected].