In Winnipeg West, familiarity breeds contest

1 week_ago 12

Manitoba·New

Conservative Marty Morantz edged retired Liberal Doug Eyolfson by 460 votes successful 2021. The contention for Winnipeg West whitethorn beryllium adjacent person this year.

Third consecutive run featuring Conservative MP Morantz and erstwhile Liberal MP Eyolfson

Bartley Kives · CBC News

· Posted: Apr 08, 2025 6:00 AM EDT | Last Updated: 10 minutes ago

A antheral   successful  a sweater lasting  successful  beforehand   of a billboard with his likeness.

Conservative campaigner Marty Morantz is seeking to triumph his 3rd predetermination successful a riding present known arsenic Winnipeg West. (Bartley Kives/CBC)

On a residential thoroughfare successful Winnipeg's Westwood neighbourhood, Earl Klassen is blessed to person an announced sojourn from Conservative campaigner Marty Morantz.

"You had my ballot past clip and you'll person it again," Klassen told the twice-elected MP, who is seeking a 3rd triumph successful a riding present known arsenic Winnipeg West.

Klassen, a retiree, said the Liberal Party of Canada has been "giving things distant excessively much" and believes a Conservative authorities would beryllium much practical.

"They are a small spot much realistic astir however things are going. They're much successful tune with the people, I think," Klassen said portion lasting successful his doorway, adding helium likes Conservative person Pierre Poilievre for his consecutive talk.

The national predetermination is not expected to beryllium a cakewalk for the Conservatives, who way the Liberals successful astir polls. Even an incumbent similar Morantz, a erstwhile metropolis councillor, faces a situation successful Winnipeg West.

After defeating erstwhile Liberal MP Doug Eyolfson successful 2019 by a comfy 2,417-vote borderline successful the erstwhile Charleswood-St. James-Assinboia-Headingley riding, Morantz lone squeaked by the exigency country doc by 460 votes successful a 2021 rematch.

Now, with Liberal fortunes successful Winnipeg buoyed by anti-U.S. sentiment — and much of Winnipeg placed successful Morantz's riding due to bound realignment — Winnipeg West present appears to beryllium the astir hard spot for the Conservatives to clasp successful Manitoba.

A representation  showing the caller   boundaries of Winnipeg West.

The caller Winnipeg West riding, successful yellow, encompasses what utilized to beryllium Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia Headingley arsenic good arsenic the portions of 2 neighbouring ridings. (CBC News)

Polling expert Philippe Fournier's 338.com lists Winnipeg West a apt Liberal seat, if the predetermination was held connected Monday.

Knocking connected doors

To Morantz, who has not forgotten his constrictive 2021 predetermination victory, the equine contention is of nary concern.

"I've been up successful the polls, I've been down successful the polls," the Conservative campaigner said precocious past week successful an interrogation successful his run office, which is nestled betwixt an security retailer and a cannabis store.

In Winnipeg West, familiarity breeds contest

The national predetermination brings a rematch of a rematch betwixt Conservative Marty Morantz and Liberal Doug Eyolfson.

Morantz said erstwhile helium knocks connected doors, each helium hears astir is radical struggling with their money.

"When I speech to seniors, they're acrophobic astir affording their lives. When I speech to young people, they're acrophobic astir affording their lives. It wasn't similar that successful 2015, when houses were fractional the price," helium said.

While the Conservative Party is moving connected affordability, immoderate voters person different concerns.

A fewer houses down from Earl Klassen successful Westwood, Jenna Rappai said she's much acrophobic astir Donald Trump's assertive stance toward Canada and plans to ballot Liberal adjacent though she's voted Green and NDP successful the past.

Liberal Leader Mark Carney, she said, is amended positioned to contend with Trump.

"Even if you are a fiscal conservative, you could inactive admit wherever helium comes from, looking astatine the system and our government," said Rappai, leaning connected her fence. 

"I've been truly blessed with however he's stood up to what we're seeing happening present successful the United States."

Sovereignty a cardinal issue

Eyolfson said this the connection helium hears astir often astatine the doorstep is simply a fearfulness of losing sovereignty to the United States.

"Not a batch of radical deliberation President Trump is joking astir that and they're afraid," Eyolfson said extracurricular a Charleswood assisted surviving residence, wherever helium had been speaking to seniors.

"People are making a precise uncomfortable relation betwixt Mr. Poilievre and President Trump and they're rather disquieted astir that."

A antheral   lasting  successful  beforehand   of an assisted-living complex.

Liberal campaigner Dpoug Eyolfson served arsenic an MP from 2016 to 2019 and is trying to triumph the spot back. (Bartley Kives/CBC)

The Morantz and Eyolfson campaigns person antithetic strengths successful this campaign. For Morantz, it's a crushed crippled bolstered by a brace of precise experienced governmental organizers, Michael Kowalson and Tannis Drysdale. For Eyolfson, it's fashionable enactment of the Liberals wrong Winnipeg, provided that support holds implicit the 3 remaining weeks of this election.

Poll-by-poll results during the erstwhile 3 elections suggest the contention for Winnipeg West volition beryllium decided successful densely populated areas of Charleswood and St. James, fixed that the agrarian areas of the riding thin much conservative.

A riding representation  showing Conservative and Liberal ballot  successful  2015.

Liberal Doug Eyolfson won Charleswood-St. James-Assiniboia-Headingley successful 2015 by capturing astir of the densely populated polls wrong Winnipeg. The reddish polls were won by Eyolfson, portion the bluish were 1 by the Conservatives. (CBC News)

A poll-by-poll representation  of Charleswood-St. james-Sssiniboia-Headingley, showing the Conservative, Liberal and NDP canvass  victories successful  blue, reddish  and orange, respectively.

Conservative Marty Morantz turned astir of Charleswood-St. james-Assiniboia-Headingley bluish successful 2019. This representation shows the Liberals and NDP won a fewer polls wrong Winnipeg successful that election. (CBC News)

A poll-by-poll representation  of Charleswood-St. james-Sssiniboia-Headingley, showing the Conservative, Liberal and NDP canvass  victories successful  blue, reddish  and orange, respectively.

The poll-by-poll effect successful Charleswood-St. james-Assiniboia-Headingley successful 2021, erstwhile Conservative Morantz defeated Liberal Eyolfson by 460 votes. This representation shows the Liberal won a fewer much polls wrong Winnipeg compared to 2019. (CBC News)

Morantz and Eyolfson also look different competitors in Winnipeg West. Elections Canada has confirmed Dennis Bayomi as the Green campaigner for the riding, portion the NDP has nominated Avery Selby-Lyons, the girl of erstwhile Manitoba NDP furniture curate Erin Selby, and Levi Anger is moving for the People's Party.

Neither Selby-Lyons nor Anger were confirmed arsenic candidates by Elections Canada arsenic of Monday. The ballot for Winnipeg West and each different Canadian ridings volition beryllium acceptable connected Tuesday.

A representation  showing superimposition of poll-by-poll voting results from 2021 connected  the caller   boundaries for Winnipeg West.

A superimposition of poll-by-poll voting results from 2021 connected the caller boundaries for Winnipeg West. The caller tural areas of the riding voted Conservative successful 2021, portion the Tuxedo information voted Conservative, NDP and Liberal. (CBC News)

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Bartley Kives joined CBC Manitoba successful 2016. Prior to that, helium spent 3 years astatine the Winnipeg Sun and 18 astatine the Winnipeg Free Press, penning astir politics, music, nutrient and outdoor recreation. He's the writer of the Canadian bestseller A Daytripper's Guide to Manitoba: Exploring Canada's Undiscovered Province and co-author of some Stuck successful the Middle: Dissenting Views of Winnipeg and Stuck In The Middle 2: Defining Views of Manitoba.

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