5 takeaways from where party leaders travelled on the campaign trail

If you privation to person a consciousness of the national parties' run strategies, it helps to follow the leader.

An idiosyncratic announcement in 1 riding mightiness not bespeak much, but taking a wider presumption reveals patterns successful a party's program of attack.

CBC News analyzed the whereabouts of the main enactment leaders and each lawsuit they held.

On the eve of Monday's vote, present are five things that stood out about the leaders' tours.

NDP's run flip

The NDP was yet forced to flip from an violative campaign, a strategy successful which the enactment was looking to adhd seats, to a antiaircraft 1 — and the alteration was stark.

In the archetypal 3 weeks of the campaign, 78 per cent of NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh's visits were to non-NDP-held ridings — the highest percentage among the 4 main enactment leaders. 

But aft the debates, the enactment entered save-the-furniture mode. It couldn't shingle polling that suggested the enactment was connected the verge of losing authoritative status, which requires 12 seats.

Sixty-one per cent of Singh's visits successful the campaign's final agelong were to ridings held by the NDP.

Tari Ajadi, an adjunct governmental subject prof at McGill University, argues the New Democrats had their chance to marque inroads earlier the predetermination was called.

He said the NDP should person moved to a antiaircraft posture earlier successful the campaign, erstwhile its conflict to prime up enactment was becoming clear.

Conservatives enactment the course

The Conservatives need Liberal ridings successful bid to person immoderate changeable astatine forming government, and Pierre Poilievre's itinerary bears this out.

More than three-quarters of Poilievre's stops have been to ridings the Conservatives would similar to carry.

Of those visits, 80 per cent were trips to Liberal-held seats.

"For them to be capable to signifier government, they request to beryllium assertive and they request to triumph seats successful places similar the GTA. They request to triumph seats successful Quebec. They request to triumph seats successful Atlantic Canada," Ajadi said.

Liberals focused connected making gains

The Liberals held a "tentative" lead successful the aboriginal stretch of the campaign, Ajadi said, due to the fact that it wasn't wide if the party's resurgence nether caller person Mark Carney had staying power. 

As such, Carney spent a bulk of his archetypal stops — 57 per cent — in ridings the enactment held astatine dissolution, but "after the debate, what I deliberation we spot is simply a firming up of that Liberal support," Ajadi said. 

The enactment started prioritizing non-incumbent ridings, which became 64 per cent of the leader's remaining visits, up from 43 per cent.

Lydia Miljan, a governmental subject prof astatine the University of Windsor, said the Liberals and Conservatives mounted assertive campaigns due to the fact that they needed to.

She added the frequence successful which the Liberals visited their ain ridings is partially a relation of the enactment having much seats than its rivals.

Blanchet protecting Bloc seats

The Bloc Québécois joined the NDP in spending astir of its past week shoring up enactment successful seats that were erstwhile harmless bets.

The enactment was deploying a half-offensive, half-defensive strategy, but since the statement 84 per cent of person Yves-François Blanchet's appearances person been in Bloc-blue ridings, including a fig of return visits.

Ajadi said Blanchet is 1 of the main people standing successful the mode of Liberal hopes for a bulk government. 

In the past 10 days, Blanchet visited 8 ridings astatine slightest twice, including aggregate appearances to battleground Bloc-held seats Thérèse-De Blainville and Longueuil-Saint-Hubert.

"If the Bloc wins those ridings then it might beryllium much apt that the Liberals extremity up winning a minority," Ajadi said.

For his part, Blanchet has denied that he's conscionable clinging to the seats helium already has.

"I'm not playing defence — that's your analysis, not mine," he's told reporters.

Repeat visits amusement choky races

The NDP's Jagmeet Singh was a acquainted look successful a fig of ridings.

He made astatine slightest 3 stops successful 8 ridings, including 4 visits to Vancouver Kingsway, a stronghold the NDP has won handily successful the past but is believed to beryllium hotly contested successful this election.

Singh has besides stopped successful Burnaby Central, his ain riding, 4 times. Polling suggests the NDP's grasp connected the seat is tenuous.

These regular visits from Singh show "they can't spend to suffer those" seats, Miljan said, but it also demonstrates the enactment has a smaller warfare thorax and cannot spend to criss-cross the country at the pace of the Liberals oregon Conservatives.

For comparison's sake, the Conservatives lone visited 2 ridings astatine slightest three times: Carleton, Poilievre's seat successful Ontario, and the Liberal riding of Surrey Newton successful B.C.

Meanwhile, the Liberals lone exceeded 2 visits at one location: Laurier-Sainte-Marie successful Quebec.